TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Plakushchyi Pavel and Marushchak Vitalii S. in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 5 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Plakushchyi Pavel' if Plakushchyi Pavel wins against Marushchak Vitalii S.. This market will resolve to 'Marushchak Vitalii S.' if Marushchak Vitalii S. wins against Plakushchyi Pavel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Plakushchyi Pavel and Marushchak Vitalii S. in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 5 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Plakushchyi Pavel' if Plakushchyi Pavel wins against Marushchak Vitalii S.. This market will resolve to 'Marushchak Vitalii S.' if Marushchak Vitalii S. wins against Plakushchyi Pavel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s depth and trading volume also play a role in price discovery, with higher volume generally leading to more accurate pricing.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Plakushchyi vs. Marushchak match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will identify the winner of the match and use this information to determine which outcome resolves positively. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their training regimens could shift expectations. Public announcements about match conditions, such as the playing surface or weather forecast, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Finally, large-volume trades from informed individuals could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 12, 2026 resolution.