TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses different scoring margins in an upcoming NHL game between Pittsburgh and Washington. It focuses on whether either team secures a victory by a specific goal differential, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other in the match.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential by which either Pittsburgh or Washington wins the game scheduled for October 7, 2026. Specifically, outcomes are determined if Washington wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Pittsburgh wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific margin thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the actual outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations for the Pittsburgh versus Washington game.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Pittsburgh versus Washington game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual point spread falls within the range covered by the contracts purchased, and 0 otherwise. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant weather forecasts could all shift traders' expectations. Unexpected developments in team performance during practice or pre-game reports could also lead to price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, though this market represents a distinct view based on financial commitment. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the game’s outcome.