TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:33 AM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses whether Pittsburgh and Vegas will score more than a specified number of goals in their NHL match. Outcomes depend on the total goals scored by both teams during regulation and overtime, excluding shootout goals which count as one each.
Multiple thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals) determine if the collective score exceeds each value. Goals from regulation and overtime are counted normally, while a shootout adds one goal to the winner. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours, it proceeds as scheduled. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in fair price resolution for all markets.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome. If you find significant differences between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for informed traders to exploit a mispricing. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure there’s always a bid and ask price available, allowing traders to enter and exit positions at any time. Essentially, the price is determined by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Pittsburgh vs Vegas game will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total goals scored will receive a payout of $1 per contract. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Pittsburgh or Vegas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to affect the game's scoring environment, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also introduce volatility. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders, or even public sentiment shifts, can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 18, 2026.