TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:33 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional hockey teams compete in a match where the outcome determines the winner based on the final score. The result is official once the game concludes, with specific guidelines for delays or cancellations to ensure fair resolution.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the NHL game between Pittsburgh and Vegas scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Vegas wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Pittsburgh wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but start within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring transparency and fairness regardless of scheduling changes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Frequently, prediction markets can offer more nuanced probabilities, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially highlighting insights not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract increases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Pittsburgh vs Vegas game. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pittsburgh vs Vegas game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, and traders who correctly predicted the result will profit based on their positions. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also influence the price of contracts. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.