TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine whether Utah or Pittsburgh will win by a margin exceeding specified goal differentials. The resolution hinges solely on the goal difference between the two teams at the end of regulation and overtime, with shootout results not affecting the spread.
Markets resolve based on whether Utah wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Pittsburgh wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, in the NHL game between Pittsburgh and Utah on Oct 19, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, markets stay open and resolve using the official result. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours results in all markets resolving to a fair price.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information or perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of team performance, injuries, or even public sentiment. It’s common to see this market incorporate news faster than traditional odds, leading to potential differences.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Pittsburgh vs Utah game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the game. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual spread. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could all impact trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also influence the market. Weather conditions at the game location are another potential catalyst. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.