TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether specific players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during an upcoming football game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. Each market tracks individual performance or defensive scoring contributions, applying special rules for player participation and injury scenarios.
All contracts in this event are designated as protected, meaning they incorporate specific participation and injury-related conditions to determine settlement. If a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half—including overtime—they will receive the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless they achieve the required touchdown count, in which case the contract settles based on actual statistics. If a player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Notably, injury, injury designation, or being ruled out is not required for protection to apply. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with an at-least payout criterion, and this event considers touchdowns scored at any point in the full game, including overtime. Importantly, passing touchdowns do not count toward the touchdown totals for individual players, and team defense/special-teams selections settle based on actual touchdowns without applying the player participation exception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these probabilities – and therefore the prices – will fluctuate. The current price indicates what it costs to take a position on a specific outcome happening, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the event's result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics for the number of touchdowns scored by each team in the Pittsburgh versus Tampa Bay game. The market will determine which outcomes align with the final, official game results. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay teams would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's scoring potential. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact prices. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could cause noticeable shifts in the probabilities, and general public sentiment regarding the teams’ performance can also play a role in how this market moves.