TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Robert Tonyan or Kaden Wetjen will each score at least one touchdown in the Pittsburgh versus Tampa Bay professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Robert Tonyan a 100.0% probability of scoring 1+ touchdowns, and Kaden Wetjen is also at 100.0%. The market resolves based on whether either player scores at least one touchdown, as determined by the outcome of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Keep an eye on the official team injury reports leading up to October 18, 2026, to see if either player’s status changes and potentially impacts their opportunity to score.
These markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown in the specified Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay game. For each participant, if they are active but do not take a snap, the market settles at the fair pre-game price. Once a participant takes a snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to whether they scored a touchdown during the game. Importantly, touchdowns scored by offensive teams during fake punts or field goal attempts do not count for defensive units; only standard offensive touchdowns count toward resolving these markets.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price of a contract isn't fixed but rather fluctuates based on supply and demand within the market itself, driven by the participants' views on the game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of touchdowns scored in the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on the actual number of touchdowns scored during the game, as reported by official sources. Traders will then receive their payouts based on the contracts they held and the final result.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact expectations. In-game events, such as early touchdowns or unexpected turnovers, will undoubtedly lead to rapid price adjustments. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information.