TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of both teams in a specific football game by focusing on how many field goals each team scores. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve a certain number of field goals, adding an additional layer of analysis to the game's outcome.
The markets resolve based on the total number of field goals scored by each specified team during the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of field goals (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) that a team must reach for the market to resolve as 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring that bets are settled equitably even in cases of significant schedule changes or cancellations. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If sportsbook odds initially favor one team heavily, but volume in this market suggests a more balanced expectation, it could signal a potential discrepancy worth investigating. However, as the event approaches, both sets of odds tend to converge as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels – indicates the strength of conviction behind those expectations. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing environment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of field goals scored by both teams in the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verification. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of field goals will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly conditions that could affect kicking accuracy, could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or changes in public perception regarding team performance could drive trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 18, 2026.