TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Pittsburgh will win their game against Tampa Bay by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Pittsburgh winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 76.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 18, 2026, as the final score will determine whether Pittsburgh exceeds the 17.5 point margin needed for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
All markets resolve based on the final score of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For Pittsburgh victory markets, resolution occurs if Pittsburgh's winning margin exceeds the specified point threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 20.5 points). For Tampa Bay victory markets, resolution occurs if Tampa Bay's winning margin exceeds the specified point threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 14.5 points). All secondary rules consistently state that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. No market considers overtime or tie scenarios, as all thresholds require a clear winning margin for either team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and market participants. Examining these differences can be insightful when forming your own opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Pittsburgh versus Tampa Bay game. The market will settle based on which side of the spread the final score falls on. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will lose their investment. It’s important to monitor news leading up to the resolution date for any potential impacts.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding coaching changes, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant changes in public sentiment could also move the market. Any late-breaking information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning – or winning by a certain margin – will be reflected in the trading activity and price movements within this market.