TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. Each threshold represents a different level of performance that, if achieved by the designated player, determines the outcome of that specific market.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record at least the stated rushing yard thresholds during the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the total rushing yards they record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each named player, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the yardage level being assessed.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as the event draws closer. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate information not fully priced into sportsbook lines, or vice versa. However, both aim to predict the same outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The current price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The market depth indicates the volume of contracts available at various price points, offering insight into the level of conviction behind different predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the Pittsburgh versus Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the total combined rushing yards achieved by both teams during the game, as recorded by the official league statistics. The resolution process ensures an objective determination of the outcome, based on publicly available data, and will finalize the contracts traded on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which can impact running game effectiveness. News regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to traders adjusting their positions, causing the price to move. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.