TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often a specific player, Bucky Irving, attempts to run with the ball during a football game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. The focus is on whether he reaches certain thresholds of rushing attempts. Outcomes depend on his performance during the game, with specific rules for handling situations where he doesn't play.
The event evaluates whether Bucky Irving achieves specified thresholds of rushing attempts (14+, 17+, and 20+) in the Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If Irving is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle to their fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Irving takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve strictly based on the actual number of rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the specific attempt count being observed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that might not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to the game. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed speculation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards what the market believes is the most likely outcome. The current price indicates the probability that the total rushing attempts will fall within the range represented by that contract.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics for the Pittsburgh versus Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of official rushing attempts recorded by the NFL will determine the winning contract. The market will settle to the contract corresponding to the actual total rushing attempts, regardless of pre-game expectations or predictions. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that might favor a passing or running game. Coaching decisions about game strategy, such as a greater emphasis on running the ball, could also shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about team matchups or defensive adjustments could impact traders’ expectations and cause price fluctuations in this market.