TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming American football game, focusing on receiving yard thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on whether designated players achieve predetermined yardage levels during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as "protected," meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the player meets the specified receiving yards threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with "above or at-least" payout criteria, and all statistics include overtime performance. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at prices they determine. These prices reflect their individual predictions about whether a player will exceed a certain receiving yardage threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current volume indicates active trading and price discovery for this NFL receiving yards market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the specified players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the final receiving yards for each player, and the outcome corresponding to the correct yardage range will be declared the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the receiving yardage range will receive a payout based on the market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key wide receivers or tight ends, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected passing volume and, consequently, receiving yardage. Finally, any late-breaking news about defensive matchups or coaching strategies could also move the market as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.