TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
The event focuses on individual player performance in an upcoming American football game, tracking specific receiving yard thresholds for various participants. Each outcome represents whether a player met or exceeded a set number of receiving yards during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards recorded by specified players in the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual receiving yards accumulated during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcomes for each player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against the specified yardage thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. As a result, you may see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional betting markets, as they aggregate diverse perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual total receiving yards will fall within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and taking positions accordingly, driving the market towards a consensus view. The market depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in different outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official receiving yardage totals for the game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay, as reported by the NFL's official statistics, will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the data against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all outstanding contracts. Traders will then receive their payouts based on their positions and the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or quarterbacks on either team would be a significant catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing yardage totals. Pre-game reports on defensive strategies and matchups, and even late-breaking news about player availability, could all lead to shifts in trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely passing game performance will likely move the market.