TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve a rushing distance exceeding set thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their longest single rush during the match. The outcome depends on whether they surpass their respective yardage benchmarks.
The event evaluates multiple individual player markets within the same Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each player market—Jalon Daniels (over 13.5 yards), Kenny Gainwell (over 6.5 yards), and Bucky Irving (over 14.5 yards)—the market resolves to Yes if the named player records a longest rush exceeding the specified yardage threshold during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap, even if the play is nullified by a penalty, the market outcome is determined solely by whether their longest rush meets or exceeds the threshold. These rules apply uniformly across all three player-specific markets, with each resolved independently based on the player’s in-game performance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each player having the longest rush. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion among bettors and market participants. It’s common to see this market adjust more dynamically to new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the game will be declared the winner. Official NFL game statistics will be used to determine the longest rush, and the resolution will be based on these publicly available and verified results. The market will then settle based on which player had the longest rush as recorded by the official game statistics.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs are a major catalyst, as the absence of a star player would dramatically shift probabilities. Pre-game news regarding playing time or changes in offensive strategy could also move the market. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, might favor a different running style and influence which player is likely to have the longest rush. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to shifts in trader sentiment and price adjustments.