TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$122,548

Aaron Rodgers: 2+

 - Kalshi

Aaron Rodgers: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 4:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aaron Rodgers: 2+

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,906
N/A
N/A
$31,104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aaron Rodgers: 1+

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,929
N/A
N/A
$30,113
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jalon Daniels: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,855
N/A
N/A
$11,475
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aaron Rodgers: 3+

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,741
N/A
N/A
$21,912
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalon Daniels: 2+

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,519
N/A
N/A
$7,986
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Rodgers: 4+

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,429
N/A
N/A
$3,234
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalon Daniels: 3+

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,168
N/A
N/A
$3,164
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the performance of specific quarterbacks in a football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. It allows participants to speculate on whether a player will reach certain benchmarks during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by the players' in-game statistics.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by the specified quarterback during the game. If the named quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+), and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the player meets or exceeds that threshold. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both quarterbacks involved in the game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns scored in the Pittsburgh versus Tampa Bay game. You can view the price history, which shows how the market has valued each outcome over time, as well as the 24-hour volume, currently at $117,174. The total volume traded on this market is $122,548. This allows you to gauge market interest and potential shifts in expectations regarding the game’s passing performance.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the evolving expectations of participants regarding the number of passing touchdowns in the game.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by both teams in the Pittsburgh versus Tampa Bay game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will then be able to see which contracts were settled as winners and receive their payouts accordingly.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor either a passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price fluctuations in this market.