TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific quarterbacks in a football game, focusing on their ability to avoid turnovers. It measures how many times a designated player records interceptions thrown during the match, with different thresholds for resolution.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by the specified quarterback during the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. If the named quarterback is active for the team but does not take a single snap—whether due to injury, substitution, or any other reason—the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap, regardless of whether that play is later nullified by a penalty, the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of interceptions recorded during their playing time. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. These rules apply independently to each named player market, with no cross-market influence.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of passing interceptions. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown in the Pittsburgh versus Tampa Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to reflect the actual number of interceptions thrown during the game. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the final number of interceptions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as an injury report, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse for passing, could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected news about defensive strategies employed by either team, or even pre-game analysis highlighting a specific weakness in either passing game, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Public perception and betting trends will also play a role.