TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:01 PM EST
Kalshi
The event focuses on whether both participating teams manage to score points in each quarter during their scheduled football game. It tracks the offensive performance of the teams throughout the match. The outcome depends on consistent scoring by both sides across all quarters of regulation time.
If Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand from traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights, but it's important to remember they represent different forms of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, creating a dynamic and informative signal. The current price represents the market’s estimate of the probability that both teams will score in every quarter, and it fluctuates based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay teams score in each quarter of the game. The result will be determined by official game statistics, and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This market provides a unique way to capitalize on your football knowledge.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect scoring. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can influence trader behavior. A strong offensive performance by either team in their preceding games could also shift expectations, leading to increased trading volume and price fluctuations.