TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks whether both Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay will score a specific minimum number of points in their football game on October 18, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed from both teams to meet the condition. The outcomes depend on the final score of the game, including any points scored in overtime.
The markets resolve based on whether both Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay score at least the specified number of points (14, 21, 28, or 35) in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. Points scored in overtime count toward the total. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets share these conditions, with each market having its own point threshold requirement for both teams.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the price away from the sportsbook’s initial offering. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a ‘yes’ or ‘no’ outcome to the question of whether both the Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay teams will score during the game. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring. The closer the game gets, the more active trading tends to become.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay teams have scored at least one point each during the scheduled game time. Any overtime periods will be included in determining the outcome. The final score will be verified against official game statistics to determine if both teams successfully scored, finalizing the result of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of both teams finding the endzone. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to price movements in this market.