TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay in the final quarter of their football game. Bettors assess how offensive the teams might be in the last quarter, considering factors like game strategy, player performance, and any late-game scoring opportunities.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay exclusively during the 4th quarter of their scheduled game on Oct 18, 2026, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total exceeds the stated threshold (3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points), it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcome hinges solely on in-game performance during the final quarter, reflecting expectations about late-game scoring dynamics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the fourth quarter between the Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. The total points scored in the fourth quarter will be the determining factor, and this will be verified against official game statistics. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence traders' perceptions and lead to price adjustments. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to shifts in this market.