TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during that quarter, with a tie resulting in a distinct resolution.
If Tampa Bay wins the 2nd Quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh wins the 2nd Quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the second quarter. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the market aggregates the collective intelligence of all participants. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay will be declared the winner of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Trading will cease once the second quarter concludes and the result is officially known.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game performance during the first quarter could also impact trader behavior. Major announcements related to team strategy or player availability are likely to generate increased volume and price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions.