TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 2nd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$13,279

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,145
N/A
N/A
$1,581
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,136
N/A
N/A
$1,121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,008
N/A
N/A
$987
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,170
N/A
N/A
$1,404
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,514
N/A
N/A
$1,080
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,280
N/A
N/A
$893
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$949
N/A
N/A
$936
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$918
N/A
N/A
$805
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$617
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
$417
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
$404
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay exclusively within the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold that the winning team must exceed for the outcome to resolve as 'Yes'. Points scored in any other quarter are irrelevant to these markets. If Pittsburgh wins the second quarter by more than the specified margin, the corresponding Pittsburgh markets resolve to 'Yes' and all Tampa Bay markets resolve to 'No'. Conversely, if Tampa Bay wins the second quarter by more than the specified margin, the corresponding Tampa Bay markets resolve to 'Yes' and all Pittsburgh markets resolve to 'No'. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to 'No'.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the 2nd quarter spread between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $13,276. The total volume traded on this market is $13,276. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on price fluctuations and trading activity.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the game and highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with experts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly the price reacts to new information or changes in sentiment. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final price of contracts will reflect the actual result of the game.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions affecting the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate shifts in sentiment and drive price fluctuations in this market.