TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 1st Tampa Bay Touchdown
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What is the result of Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$3,580

Emeka Egbuka

 - Kalshi

Emeka Egbuka - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 1:50 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Emeka Egbuka

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,677
N/A
N/A
$2,559
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ted Hurst III

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
kalshi

Bucky Irving

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$289
Settled
No
kalshi

Cade Otton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Godwin Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
No
kalshi

Tez Johnson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalon Daniels

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenny Gainwell

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

TB Buccaneers D/ST

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kameron Johnson

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Williams

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Payne Durham

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

These markets focus on predicting which Tampa Bay player or unit will score the team's first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Pittsburgh. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game events.

Kalshi

The markets determine whether a specified Tampa Bay player or the team's defense scores the first touchdown in the game against Pittsburgh. Each player-specific market resolves to Yes if that particular player scores the first Tampa Bay touchdown. If the player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair pre-game price. Once a player takes a snap, the market resolves based on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Tampa Bay touchdowns are scored, all player markets resolve to No, and the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes. The defensive unit market follows the same logic, resolving to Yes if the defense scores the first touchdown. All markets are independent, and the outcome is strictly based on the first touchdown scored by Tampa Bay, with no consideration for subsequent scoring events.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of the event. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes differ due to factors like marketing strategies or risk management. It's useful to compare both to gain a comprehensive view, but remember that this market represents a distinct form of forecasting.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a 1% chance of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting the first Tampa Bay touchdown, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, meaning that if there's strong conviction that the touchdown will happen early, the price will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information efficiently.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on determining which team scores the first touchdown in the game between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. The outcome will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. The market will settle to 100 if Tampa Bay scores the first touchdown, and 0 if Pittsburgh scores first. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either team, particularly the Tampa Bay offensive players, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of a quick touchdown. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Unexpected developments during the game itself, even before the first touchdown, could also move the market.