TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher or lower scoring openings.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets cover a range of scoring levels, from just over 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points, providing multiple opportunities to predict the scoring pace at the start of the game. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market represents the collective belief of individuals trading on Kalshi. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has attracted a disproportionate amount of informed traders. It’s common to see convergence as the event nears, but divergences can present opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher first quarter total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving you insight into the liquidity and potential price movement.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the first quarter of the Pittsburgh Steelers versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor official sources as the game progresses.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. News regarding key player injuries for either the Steelers or Buccaneers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for scoring, could also impact trading activity. As game day approaches, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift expectations. Finally, early game developments, such as a quick touchdown or a defensive stop, will undoubtedly cause rapid price adjustments in this market.