TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Pittsburgh or Tampa Bay in the first half of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first half of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in the market title. Only points scored during the first half count toward determining the outcome. If the game is postponed or canceled without a first half being completed, all markets will be voided. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from traders. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first-half result of the Pittsburgh versus Tampa Bay game will be used to determine whether Pittsburgh won by more than 4.5 points. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the first half. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or key offensive players, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also contribute to price movements in this market.