TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether specific players will score one or more touchdowns in the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Chris Olave: 1+ touchdowns a 13.0% probability, while Jaylen Warren: 1+ touchdowns is at 11.0%. The market resolves based on whether Germie Bernard scores at least one touchdown in the game, according to Kalshi’s resolution source. Keep an eye on the official team injury reports leading up to the game on Oct 25, 2026, as player availability will heavily influence these probabilities.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player scores the required number of touchdowns (1+ or 2+) in the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored during fake punts or field goals by the offensive team are excluded from counting. All markets are independent, and the resolution hinges exclusively on the player's touchdown performance during the game.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Often, you’ll find this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to various outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the potential for different touchdown totals. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time estimate of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of touchdowns scored in the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data source, will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and contract payouts shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Pittsburgh or New Orleans teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing, could also impact expectations for scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could shift the market as traders react to new information and reassess the likely number of touchdowns in the game.