TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the official statistics recorded during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Pittsburgh or New Orleans in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) that, if met or exceeded by a team, results in a 'Yes' resolution for that specific market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. Often, you’ll see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as traders react to developments. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by public perception, this market tends to converge on a more accurate assessment as the event approaches, driven by those with specialized knowledge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total yards for each team. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a higher yardage total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of participants. This creates a real-time forecast of the likely outcome, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards for each team, as recorded by the NFL’s official statistics, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the combined passing and rushing yards achieved by each team during the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game. Traders will be able to view the final results and confirm their payouts after the official statistics are released and processed.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly quarterbacks or running backs, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing and rushing yardage. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also influence trading activity in this market.