TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Pittsburgh will win against New Orleans by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming Pro Football game. Currently, the probability of Pittsburgh winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 88.0%. The market will resolve based on the final score of the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 25, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the final official score of the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For markets where Pittsburgh is the specified winner, if Pittsburgh wins by more points than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, for markets where New Orleans is the specified winner, if New Orleans wins by more points than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A tie or draw results in all markets resolving to No. The governing league's official score and any subsequent confirmed adjustments will be used for resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you'll find that this market odds incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison and can indicate where public perception differs from the prediction market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders believe the spread will be covered, the price of contracts representing that outcome increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread result of the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game will be used to determine whether the spread was covered. The market will settle to 100 if the spread was covered, and 0 if it was not. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Pittsburgh or New Orleans teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, or even large volume trades on Kalshi, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.