TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event also focuses on Jaylen Warren's rushing yards in the same game, but uses a tiered payout structure. Yes contracts pay according to predefined brackets for each 10-yard increment, with payouts increasing non-linearly up to the maximum $1.00. No contracts receive the difference from $1.00.
If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by Jaylen Warren in the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, you may see the prediction market odds converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook odds. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price tends to become more efficient, representing a collective forecast of the total rushing yards in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing yards for the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be sourced from official NFL statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total rushing yards will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts for incorrect totals will receive nothing. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could also shift the market, as they affect the running game. News regarding offensive line changes or coaching strategies could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or game plans could lead to substantial movement in the market price as traders adjust their expectations.