TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on individual player performance in a specific football game, tracking whether certain players achieve particular rushing yard thresholds. It allows bettors to speculate on how effectively these players might perform during the match.
Each market assesses whether a specified player achieves a defined rushing yard threshold during the game. If the player meets or exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A player is considered to have taken a snap if they are on the field for any play, regardless of whether the snap is nullified by a penalty. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. All markets are independent, and the resolution is strictly based on the player's actual rushing yardage performance during the game.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable strategy for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total rushing yards. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated expectations of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate rapidly based on trading activity and new information. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals from the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the officially recorded statistics from the NFL, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed statistics as the game concludes to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or running, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, late-breaking news regarding player availability or team tactics will likely drive changes in the market as traders adjust their predictions before the game.