TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual player performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain players achieve particular rushing yard thresholds. The markets cover multiple players and various yardage benchmarks, providing insights into anticipated offensive contributions and game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record designated rushing yard totals during the full game, including overtime. Each contract is protected: if a player participates in the first half but not afterward, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the yardage threshold is met, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis and team statistics, this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing market participants and risk appetites. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and information that impacts the perceived likelihood of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders directly set the prices for contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges. Buyers and sellers submit bids and asks, and trades occur when there’s a price match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of the actual rushing yardage falling within that range. As more information becomes available, and as traders react to news and analysis, these prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total rushing yards achieved in the game, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid upon purchase.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game plan. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or player availability could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about defensive matchups or team performance in recent games could influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential price movements in this market.