TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific player achieves various yardage milestones during an upcoming football game between two teams. The focus is on the combined total of rushing and receiving yards accumulated by the player throughout the match. Different thresholds define separate outcomes based on performance levels.
The event evaluates Jaylen Warren's combined rushing and receiving yards in the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, across three sequential thresholds: 100+, 125+, and 150+ yards. For all thresholds, if Warren is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Warren takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total yards he records during the game. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold resolves separately according to its specific yardage requirement. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that may not be immediately factored into traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks initially set odds based on their own analysis, but these can be influenced by betting biases and limits. This market, driven by active traders, can sometimes offer different probabilities than those found at sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly closer to the event date as more data becomes available and opinions converge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and inaccurate predictions can lead to losses. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, injuries, and other relevant information, creating a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The total combined rushing and receiving yards for the players involved will be tallied and compared against the market’s contract levels. The final outcome will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual game performance.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either the Steelers or the Saints would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to traders re-evaluating their positions and adjusting the price of contracts.