TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:21 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players will carry the ball during an upcoming football game between Pittsburgh and New Orleans. Outcomes depend on whether designated players receive particular minimum numbers of rushing attempts during the contest.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the named player achieves the stated threshold of rushing attempts. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistent resolution criteria regardless of the specific attempt thresholds defined in each individual market.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event nears. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis, this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge closer to kickoff as more information becomes available, but differences can still present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher number of rushing attempts, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, making it a valuable tool for forecasting the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing attempts for the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally will be sourced from official NFL game statistics and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of rushing attempts will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different outcome will not. The market’s resolution is based on objective data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes to the expected game script, such as a forecast for inclement weather favoring a run-heavy approach. News regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player availability or team tactics could cause the market to reassess the probabilities and adjust prices accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.