TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Pittsburgh and New Orleans. Participants can bet on whether each player will reach certain reception thresholds, with payouts scaling based on actual performance.
Each market operates as a scalar betting contract focused on the number of receptions a designated player records during the specified NFL game. For each player market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 20 receptions. The No contracts pay the remainder, calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size and adjust dynamically based on the actual number of receptions. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60; eleven receptions would result in a Yes payout of $0.55 and a No payout of $0.45, while zero receptions would yield a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All markets are independent, and each resolves based solely on the performance of its respective player.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals for players in the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game. The price of each contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each player exceeding or falling short of specific reception benchmarks. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for each player will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which contracts pay out. The contracts will settle at $1.00 for winning outcomes and $0.00 for losing outcomes, based on the actual number of receptions achieved by each player during the game. The market’s resolution is tied to the completion of the game and the availability of verified statistics.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports are significant; news of a key receiver being sidelined would likely shift the probabilities for other players. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a pass-heavy or run-heavy game plan, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports about a player’s role in the offense could also cause movement. Finally, any significant news regarding the opposing defense’s strategy or personnel could affect expectations for receiver performance.