TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Pittsburgh and New Orleans. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase progressively with each reception, following a cubic scaling formula, while 'No' contracts compensate based on the inverse of the 'Yes' payout.
Each market resolves based on the official number of receptions achieved by the named player in the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each player market, 'Yes' contracts pay according to a cubic scaling formula that increases with the number of receptions up to a maximum payout of $1.00 for 14 or more receptions. The formula used is Payout = floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where 's' represents the official receptions recorded. 'No' contracts pay $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout, ensuring that the total payout for both positions sums to $1.00. The markets are structured as scalar outcomes, with payouts capped at $1.00 for 'Yes' contracts. All markets resolve to 'Yes' if the payout condition is met based on the official game statistics.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts' predictions can also offer a contrasting viewpoint, but this market uniquely aggregates individual forecasts into a single, fluid price.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals from the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official statistics reported by the NFL. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data to determine the winning contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses and the final results are tallied.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Pittsburgh or New Orleans teams, particularly wide receivers or quarterbacks, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, specifically conditions that might favor passing or running plays, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team matchups or player performance could influence traders' assessments and move the market.