TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:23 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game between Pittsburgh and New Orleans. The outcome depends on whether individual players meet or exceed predetermined reception thresholds during the match.
All markets in this event are designated as protected, meaning they resolve based on actual statistics if the player participates in at least one play after the first half, or at the fair price prior to kickoff if the player only appears in the first half and fails to meet the reception threshold. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime periods. The event uses official game statistics from the governing league, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market, where prices adjust continuously with each trade. It’s often useful to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of receptions made by each player will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which contracts pay out. This market will settle based on the final, official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in quarterback performance or play-calling strategies could also affect player reception totals. Unexpected weather conditions during the game, such as heavy rain or wind, might also impact passing volume and, consequently, reception numbers. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team matchups or defensive schemes could shift trader sentiment and move the market.