TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:50 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game between Pittsburgh and New Orleans, with payouts scaling based on the receiving yards each player accumulates during the match.
Contracts in these markets resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by specified players in the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each Yes contract's payout is determined by a tiered schedule that increases with every 10 receiving yards achieved by the respective player, following a cubic scaling formula designed to reward higher yardage more significantly. The payout formula calculates a scaled value from the official yards, capped at $1.00 for Yes contracts and adjusted inversely for No contracts, which pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Negative yardage results in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All contracts resolve to Yes upon completion of the game, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of certain outcomes in the NFL receiving yards market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that total being achieved. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the expected receiving yards. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract, effectively representing a probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will serve as the source of truth for determining the total receiving yards achieved by all eligible players. The market will settle to the contract closest to the final, official receiving yardage total, as defined by Kalshi’s market rules.
Several factors could influence the market for the NFL receiving yards total. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant catalysts, as would any changes to the expected game plan or weather conditions. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or defensive matchups could also shift the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders reacting to new information, can cause noticeable price movements in this market.