TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:38 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Pittsburgh and New Orleans. The outcome depends on whether designated players record a certain number of interceptions during the match. Markets adjust based on player participation and in-game performance.
All markets in this event resolve based on the number of passing interceptions recorded by specified quarterbacks—Tyler Shough and Aaron Rodgers—during the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a threshold for interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+), and resolves to 'Yes' if the player meets or exceeds that threshold. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of interceptions recorded during their participation. These rules apply uniformly across all sub-markets for both quarterbacks, ensuring consistent evaluation of outcomes based on in-game performance and participation status.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event as more information is incorporated into the price. Examining these differences can be insightful for both novice and experienced bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing interceptions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own predictions, which influences the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price represents the collective expectation of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential for interceptions in this game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders who correctly predicted the number of interceptions will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution. It's important to monitor the game and official stats as they become available to understand the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as an injury report, would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be rainy or windy, could also affect passing attempts and interception rates. Furthermore, any strategic adjustments announced by either team’s coaching staff, or even reports on defensive matchups, could influence traders’ expectations. Unexpected news about key wide receivers or defensive backs could also move the price of contracts in this market.