TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether specific players and teams will exceed designated fantasy point thresholds in an upcoming football game. The outcomes depend on individual player performances and team defensive metrics, evaluated using a standardized fantasy scoring system. Each market is resolved based on official game statistics published after the match concludes.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defense/special teams units during the full Pro Football game (including overtime) scheduled for October 25, 2026, between Pittsburgh and New Orleans. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various in-game achievements such as passing/rushing/receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, field goals, sacks, and defensive performances. Players who do not participate or lack a published fantasy-point value are considered to have scored zero points. The resolving point total reflects the official statistics published by Sleeper at market expiration, with no post-expiration adjustments allowed. Each market has a unique threshold; if the participant’s total exceeds their specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' Defensive and special teams scoring includes bonuses for points allowed, turnovers, and special teams plays.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants. The current prices represent the market’s assessment of the probability of each outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official fantasy point totals for the players in the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that corresponds to the actual fantasy points scored. The official NFL fantasy football scoring rules will be used to determine the final results. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses and the final scores are tallied.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either the Steelers or the Saints would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or rushing games, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected lineup changes or coaching decisions announced before game day could also move this market. Finally, even late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive strategies could cause traders to reassess their positions.