TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets ties the financial outcome directly to the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game. Each market evaluates a player's performance using a standardized scoring system, translating their statistical contributions into monetary payouts for participants.
Each market operates as a scalar betting mechanism where payouts are determined by the player's Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points during the specified Pittsburgh vs New Orleans Pro Football game. For each player market, the Yes contract pays $0.01 per fantasy point scored, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contract pays the remainder of the $1.00 stake after subtracting the Yes payout. If a player records negative points, the Yes payout is $0.00 and the No payout is $1.00. Should the fantasy-point data not be assigned by Sleeper for the specified week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a $0.00 Yes payout and a $1.00 No payout. All payouts scale proportionally with the holder's contract position. These markets are independent of official NFL affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective belief of traders willing to put their capital at risk. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities are more accurate than traditional odds, especially as the event draws closer and more information is factored in. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available here, and their odds can move based on factors like public betting patterns.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the event's outcome. This creates a fluid and informative pricing mechanism driven by the wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final fantasy point totals for the players in the specified matchup, as determined by standard fantasy football scoring rules. The market will settle to 100, representing the outcome with the highest fantasy point total. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Significant weather forecasts for the game day could also play a role, potentially affecting player performance and scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could influence how traders assess the probabilities of different outcomes. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on fantasy point projections will be key to understanding movements in this market.