TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the final quarter of a football game between Pittsburgh and New Orleans. Bettors can predict whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of challenge and potential payout based on how high or low they think the scoring will be.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Pittsburgh and New Orleans during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, excluding any points from overtime periods. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The thresholds range from 3.5 points to 24.5 points in increments, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in the final quarter. All markets share the same secondary rule, ensuring consistency in counting only in-game 4th-quarter points and excluding overtime scores.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially emphasize established metrics, this market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 4th quarter total. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective prediction. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the actual 4th quarter total falls within a specific range.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 4th quarter of the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans game will determine the outcome. The market will settle based on the official statistics reported by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market and whether their predicted outcome matched the actual result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Pittsburgh or New Orleans teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact prices. Unexpected shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, might also lead to adjustments. Any significant developments affecting the perceived competitiveness of the game could drive volume and price changes in this market.