TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Pittsburgh and New Orleans teams specifically during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in that quarter.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Pittsburgh and New Orleans during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count, meaning any points from other quarters are irrelevant. The thresholds range from 3.5 to 24.5 points, offering multiple levels of prediction for participants. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. You may find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to various outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and the event draws closer, and these differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the NFL 2nd quarter total. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater belief that the total will be higher. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded, and those with inaccurate beliefs may incur losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second quarter of the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the completion of the game and verification of the official score.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Pittsburgh or New Orleans teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might influence traders' predictions. As the game approaches, even seemingly minor updates can cause shifts in the price of contracts within this market, reflecting the dynamic nature of information and expectations.