TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:38 PM EST
Kalshi
The second half spread will show how much Pittsburgh or New Orleans wins by during the latter half of play. The outcome hinges exclusively on the point differential after halftime, with overtime included in the calculation.
These markets evaluate whether Pittsburgh or New Orleans achieves a second-half win by exceeding various point margins. Each market specifies a different margin threshold, and only points scored in the second half (including overtime) factor into the determination. The result depends entirely on the point differential after halftime, with no regard to the first half’s performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own models and may adjust them based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Pittsburgh will win the second half by more than 4.5 points. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential result. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Pittsburgh versus New Orleans game will be used to determine whether Pittsburgh won by more than 4.5 points. The result will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or key offensive players, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected scoring and therefore shift the odds. Additionally, in-game performance during the first half, and any strategic adjustments made by the coaches, could influence traders’ expectations and lead to price fluctuations in this market.