TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both Pittsburgh and New Orleans in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher or lower scoring bursts within the opening quarter.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Pittsburgh and New Orleans during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets cover a range of scoring levels, from just over 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points, providing multiple opportunities to predict different levels of offensive performance in the opening quarter. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the perceived probability of different outcomes, and potentially identify value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the first quarter total score. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the collective prediction of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first quarter total score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any late-breaking information or changes in their assessment of the likely outcome.
Several signals could impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Saints or the Steelers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate shifts in market sentiment and trigger further price adjustments.