TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of risk and reward based on expected game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by Pittsburgh and New Orleans combined during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the first half count, and all markets are independent, each with its own resolution criteria. The markets cover a range of thresholds from 3.5 to 42.5 points, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own beliefs. If a large number of people believe the first half total will be high, the price of 'over' contracts will increase, potentially moving further from the initial sportsbook line. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public opinion shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the first half total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; more buyers drive the price up, while more sellers drive it down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total score from the Pittsburgh vs New Orleans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official score reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual total was above or below the relevant threshold. Traders will be able to see the resolved outcome and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Saints or Steelers would likely have a significant impact, as this affects scoring potential. Weather conditions, particularly if there's inclement weather expected during the game, could also shift expectations. Finally, even late-breaking news about coaching strategies or changes to the game plan could move the market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available.