TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses whether the total number of goals scored by both teams in a specific NHL game exceeds various thresholds. The thresholds increase with each market, offering different levels of difficulty for the outcome. The resolution depends solely on the final official score of the game, including regulation and overtime goals.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Pittsburgh vs Montreal NHL game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Goals counted include those scored during regulation time and overtime, with shootout results contributing one goal to the winning team's total. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 9.5 goals); if the combined goals exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will decrease, indicating higher implied probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Pittsburgh vs Montreal game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Pittsburgh vs Montreal game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the contract price they paid.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Pittsburgh or Montreal teams would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if extreme conditions are expected, could also impact expectations for scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or tactical adjustments could influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.