TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Pittsburgh and Montreal, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team secures a decisive win by exceeding specific goal differentials. The resolution hinges on the official game result, accounting for potential schedule adjustments.
The event consists of four markets, each evaluating whether Pittsburgh or Montreal wins the designated NHL game by a margin exceeding either 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If either team meets or exceeds the specified goal differential in their favor, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes or cancellations.
Generally, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically representing the 'wisdom of the crowd'. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It's common to see differences emerge, reflecting varying levels of confidence and potentially uncovering insights overlooked by traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads in the Pittsburgh vs Montreal game. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall within that range, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the contract price will rise, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential outcome, driven entirely by supply and demand within the market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Pittsburgh vs Montreal game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The market will close prior to the event's completion to prevent any last-minute manipulation or influence from the live game action.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Pittsburgh or Montreal teams would likely cause a shift in the spread. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during other games could also influence trader sentiment. Major weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions during the game might also play a role, as could significant public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely move the market.