TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Miami (FL) will win their college football game against Pittsburgh by more than 20.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Miami (FL) winning by over 20.5 points, with resolution determined by the outcome of the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, specifically if Miami (FL) wins by more than 45.5 points. Participants should closely watch the game itself on October 24, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. For each market, if Miami wins by exceeding the specified point margin, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to impactful news, as traders can react immediately, whereas sportsbook odds are updated less frequently. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Pittsburgh vs Miami game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which side of the market pays out. The market will settle to $1 for the winning side of the spread and $0 for the losing side. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or cover their losses after the official results are published and verified.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Pittsburgh or Miami teams would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant public betting patterns could also influence the market price. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.