TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will establish a significant lead over the other within a specific quarter of a college football game. Outcomes depend entirely on the point differential at the end of that quarter, reflecting momentum and performance during that period.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market specifies a different point differential threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds the respective margin by the end of that quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this window, markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation exists between Kalshi and the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see this market incorporate new information faster than traditional sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and decreases the probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a forward-looking assessment of the game’s potential spread.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league and verified by sources considered authoritative for sports scores. The market will determine which side of the spread—Pittsburgh or Miami (FL)—performed better during the 3rd quarter of the game, based on the official score differential. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted according to the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Pittsburgh or Miami (FL) would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, can drive trading activity and alter the market’s assessment of the likely 3rd quarter spread. Unexpected news related to team morale or coaching decisions could also play a role.