TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of an upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Miami (FL). It highlights the competitive nature of individual game segments rather than the overall game outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the second quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Miami scores the most points in that quarter, the Miami market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh scores the most points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes. For postponements, if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual second-quarter result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their genuine beliefs about the outcome. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the two. Sportsbooks may also be slower to react to new information or changing sentiment, whereas this market adjusts rapidly based on the collective wisdom of traders. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Pittsburgh or Miami (FL) will win the 2nd quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 2nd quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game, or even pre-game analysis highlighting a particular team's advantage, could also cause significant price movement. Public perception and media coverage surrounding the game will also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.