TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:46 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether a specific team will win by a certain margin during the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. The outcomes depend solely on the points scored in that quarter, ignoring the rest of the match.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated margin. Only points scored during the second quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or sentiment within the prediction market. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives from individual traders. It’s common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event draws nearer, as both markets react to new information and betting activity. However, prediction markets can sometimes offer more favorable odds, particularly if there’s a strong consensus forming that differs from sportsbook expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Pittsburgh vs Miami spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perceptions. The current price indicates the implied probability of the spread falling within the specified range.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread of the Pittsburgh vs Miami game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning side of the spread and 0 for the losing side. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Pittsburgh or Miami teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic changes could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, potentially driving the market price in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.